Hypothesis Testing for a Functional Parameter via Self-Normalization

成果类型:
Article; Early Access
署名作者:
Zhang, Yi; Shao, Xiaofeng
署名单位:
University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Washington University (WUSTL); Washington University (WUSTL)
刊物名称:
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION
ISSN/ISSBN:
0162-1459
DOI:
10.1080/01621459.2025.2483483
发表日期:
2025
关键词:
change-points time-series bootstrap
摘要:
Testing simple or composite hypothesis on a functional parameter has attracted considerable attention in time series analysis. To accommodate for the unknown temporal dependence, classical nonparametric approaches such as block bootstrapping and subsampling all involve a bandwidth parameter, the choice of which can substantially affect the finite sample performance. The self normalization (SN) method is tuning parameter free when applied to the inference of a finite-dimensional parameter but its applicability to a functional parameter is unknown. In this article, we propose a sample splitting based approach to generalize the SN method to hypothesis testing of a functional parameter. Our SS-SN (sample splitting plus self-normalization) idea is broadly applicable to many testing problems for functional parameters, including testing for simple/composite hypothesis on marginal cumulative distribution function, testing for time-reversibility and testing for a change point on the spectral distribution of a multivariate time series. Specifically, we derive the pivotal limiting distributions of our SS-SN test statistics under the null for both simple and composite null hypothesis, and derive the limiting power function under the local alternatives. Numerical simulations show that our new tests tend to yield accurate size with competitive power performance as compared to many existing ones. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.