Goodness-of-fit testing in high dimensional generalized linear models

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Jankova, Jana; Shah, Rajen D.; Buhlmann, Peter; Samworth, Richard J.
• 署名单位: University of Cambridge
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1369-7412
• DOI: 10.1111/rssb.12371
• 发表日期: 2020
• 页码: 773-795
• 关键词: confidence-intervals; logistic-regression; P-values; inference; selection; bootstrap

摘要

We propose a family of tests to assess the goodness of fit of a high dimensional generalized linear model. Our framework is flexible and may be used to construct an omnibus test or directed against testing specific non-linearities and interaction effects, or for testing the significance of groups of variables. The methodology is based on extracting left-over signal in the residuals from an initial fit of a generalized linear model. This can be achieved by predicting this signal from the residuals by using modern powerful regression or machine learning methods such as random forests or boosted trees. Under the null hypothesis that the generalized linear model is correct, no signal is left in the residuals and our test statistic has a Gaussian limiting distribution, translating to asymptotic control of type I error. Under a local alternative, we establish a guarantee on the power of the test. We illustrate the effectiveness of the methodology on simulated and real data examples by testing goodness of fit in logistic regression models. Software implementing the methodology is available in the R package GRPtests.