FULL MATCHING APPROACH TO INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATION WITH APPLICATION TO THE EFFECT OF MALARIA ON STUNTING

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Kang, Hyunseung; Kreuels, Benno; May, Juergen; Small, Dylan S.
• 署名单位: University of Pennsylvania; University of Hamburg; University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf; Leibniz Association; Bernhard Nocht Institut fur Tropenmedizin
• 刊物名称: ANNALS OF APPLIED STATISTICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1932-6157
• DOI: 10.1214/15-AOAS894
• 发表日期: 2016
• 页码: 335-364
• 关键词: sickle-cell trait; Causal Inference; CHILDREN; identification; Heterogeneity; malnutrition; sensitivity; PROTECTION; resistance; morbidity

摘要

Most previous studies of the causal relationship between malaria and stunting have been studies where potential confounders are controlled via regression-based methods, but these studies may have been biased by unobserved confounders. Instrumental variables (IV) regression offers a way to control for unmeasured confounders where, in our case, the sickle cell trait can be used as an instrument. However, for the instrument to be valid, it may still be important to account for measured confounders. The most commonly used instrumental variable regression method, two-stage least squares, relies on parametric assumptions on the effects of measured confounders to account for them. Additionally, two-stage least squares lacks transparency with respect to covariate balance and weighing of subjects and does not blind the researcher to the outcome data. To address these drawbacks, we propose an alternative method for IV estimation based on full matching. We evaluate our new procedure on simulated data and real data concerning the causal effect of malaria on stunting among children. We estimate that the risk of stunting among children with the sickle cell trait decreases by 0.22 per every malaria episode prevented by the sickle cell trait, a substantial effect of malaria on stunting (p-value: 0.011, 95% CI: 0.044, 1).