Asymptotic global robustness in Bayesian decision theory

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Abraham, C; Cadre, B
• 署名单位: Institut Agro; Montpellier SupAgro; INRAE; Arts et Metiers Institute of Technology; Universite de Montpellier
• 刊物名称: ANNALS OF STATISTICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0090-5364
• DOI: 10.1214/009053604000000562
• 发表日期: 2004
• 页码: 1341-1366
• 关键词: posterior distributions; inference; intervals; priors; models

摘要

In Bayesian decision theory, it is known that robustness with respect to the loss and the prior can be improved by adding new observations. In this article we study the rate of robustness improvement with respect to the number of observations n. Three usual measures of posterior global robustness are considered: the (range of the) Bayes actions set derived from a class of loss functions, the maximum regret of using a particular loss when the subjective loss belongs to a given class and the range of the posterior expected loss when the loss function ranges over a class. We show that the rate of convergence of the first measure of robustness is rootn, while it is n for the other measures under reasonable assumptions on the class of loss functions. We begin with the study of two particular cases to illustrate our results.