Do defaulting CEOs and directors increase the likelihood of financial distress of the firm?

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Kallunki, Juha-Pekka; Pyykko, Elina
• 署名单位: University of Oulu
• 刊物名称: REVIEW OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1380-6653
• DOI: 10.1007/s11142-012-9203-x
• 发表日期: 2013
• 页码: 228-260
• 关键词: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE; UPPER ECHELONS; bankruptcy; ratios; overconfidence; prediction; RISK

摘要

We hypothesize that the information on a CEO's and directors' (board members) past personal payment default entries in public credit data files significantly increases the predictive power of Altman's (in J Fin 23(4):589-609, 1968) and Ohlson's (In J Acc Res 18(1):109-131, 1980) distress prediction models. We base our hypothesis on the literature showing that (1) managerial traits such as overconfidence, over-optimism, and the illusion of control affect corporate decisions and that (2) these same personal traits explain personal over-indebtedness and credit defaults. Our results of analyzing the credit data files of more than 100,000 CEOs and directors of the Finnish private limited liability companies support this hypothesis. Our results remain materially unchanged when using the bootstrapping method to assess their significance and when excluding small firms (firm size below the sample median). Collectively, our results imply that creditors should recognize the increased distress risk of firms appointing defaulting CEOs and directors.