The Power of Numbers: Base-Ten Threshold Effects in Reported Revenue

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Stice, Derrald; Stice, Earl K.; Stice, Han; Stice-Lawrence, Lorien
• 署名单位: University of Hong Kong; Brigham Young University; Chinese University of Hong Kong; University of Southern California
• 刊物名称: CONTEMPORARY ACCOUNTING RESEARCH
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0823-9150
• DOI: 10.1111/1911-3846.12799
• 发表日期: 2022
• 页码: 2903-2940
• 关键词: earnings management; information-content; attention; forecasts; MARKET; overconfidence; Discontinuity; disclosure; frequency; section

摘要

We show that managers have a propensity to disproportionately report total revenues just above base-ten thresholds (e.g., 10 million, 30 million, 1 billion) and examine motives for and consequences of this behavior. Focusing on base-ten thresholds in revenues is important because, despite being unusually prevalent in revenue targets set in executive compensation contracts, analyst forecasts, and management forecasts, they have not been previously explored. We also show that pressure to beat these targets provides one explanation for the base-ten bias in reported revenues. However, these incentive effects do not offer a complete explanation because base-ten threshold-beating is observed even in the absence of these explicit targets. We further find that when firms beat a base-ten threshold for the first time, they experience increases in news coverage, institutional ownership, liquidity, and analyst following, even after controlling for whether they have beaten other common benchmarks. These results suggest that managers also beat base-ten thresholds in order to increase their firms' overall visibility. Overall, we show that a preference for base-ten numbers, which have no inherent economic meaning, has a measurable effect on the actions of market participants. These results open the door to a new range of managerial targets previously unexplored.