Risk, ambiguity, and the separation of utility and beliefs

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Ghirardato, P; Marinacci, M
• 署名单位: California Institute of Technology; University of Turin
• 刊物名称: MATHEMATICS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0364-765X
• DOI: 10.1287/moor.26.4.864.10002
• 发表日期: 2001
• 页码: 864-890
• 关键词: expected utility; definition

摘要

We introduce a general model of static choice under uncertainty, arguably the weakest model achieving a separation of cardinal utility and a unique representation of beliefs. Must of the nonexpected utility models existing in the literature are special cases of it. Such separation is motivated by the view that tastes are constant, whereas beliefs change with new information. The model has a simple and natural axiomatization. Elsewhere (forthcoming), we show that it can be very helpful in the characterization of a notion of ambiguity aversion, as separating utility and beliefs allows us to identify and remove aspects of risk attitude from the decision maker's behavior. Here we show that the model allows us to generalize several results on the characterization of risk aversion in betting behavior. These generalizations are of independent interest, as they show that some traditional results for subjective expected utility preference, can be formulated only in terms of binary acts.