Equilibrium Portfolio Selection Under Beliefs-Dependent Utilities

• 成果类型: Article; Early Access
• 署名作者: Chen, Xiaochen; Guan, Guohui; Liang, Zongxia
• 署名单位: Tsinghua University; Renmin University of China; Renmin University of China
• 刊物名称: MATHEMATICS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0364-765X
• DOI: 10.1287/moor.2024.0772
• 发表日期: 2025
• 关键词: inconsistent stochastic-control; risk-aversion; Optimal investment; consumption; preferences; returns; MARKETS; CHOICE

摘要

This paper investigates portfolio selection within a continuous-time financial market with regime switching and beliefs-dependent utilities. The market coefficients and the investor's utility function both depend on the market regime, which is modeled by an observable finite-state continuous-time Markov chain. The optimization problem is formulated by aggregating expected certainty equivalents under different regimes, leading to time inconsistency. Utilizing the equilibrium strategy, we derive the associated extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations and establish a rigorous verification theorem. As a special case, we analyze equilibrium portfolio selection in a beliefs-dependent risk-aversion model. In a bull regime, the excess asset returns, volatility, and risk aversion are all low, whereas the opposite holds in a bear regime. Closed-form solutions in the constant relative risk-aversion preference regime model of bull and bear markets are obtained, and they are expressed by a solution to four-dimensional nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The global existence of the ODEs is proven, and we verify the equilibrium solution rigorously. We show that the equilibrium investment strategy lies between two constant Merton's fractions. Additionally, in our numerical experiment, the equilibrium proportion allocated in the risky asset is greater in a bull regime than in a bear regime, and the equilibrium proportion increases with time in a bull regime, decreasing in a bear regime.