Risk-Averse Decision Making Under Uncertainty

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Ahmadi, Mohamadreza; Rosolia, Ugo; Ingham, Michel D.; Murray, Richard M.; Ames, Aaron D.
• 署名单位: California Institute of Technology; National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA); NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL)
• 刊物名称: IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON AUTOMATIC CONTROL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0018-9286
• DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2023.3264178
• 发表日期: 2024
• 页码: 55-68
• 关键词: Markov processes; Power capacitors; COSTS; uncertainty; Q measurement; decision making; Aerospace electronics; Stochastic systems; uncertain systems

摘要

A large class of decision making under uncertainty problems can be described via Markov decision processes (MDPs) or partially observable MDPs (POMDPs), with application to artificial intelligence and operations research, among others. In this article, we consider the problem of designing policies for MDPs and POMDPs with objectives and constraints in terms of dynamic coherent risk measures rather than the traditional total expectation, which we refer to as the constrained risk-averse problem. Our contributions can be described as follows: first, for MDPs, under some mild assumptions, we propose an optimization-based method to synthesize Markovian policies. We then demonstrate that such policies can be found by solving difference convex programs (DCPs). We show that our formulation generalize linear programs for constrained MDPs with total discounted expected costs and constraints; second, for POMDPs, we show that, if the coherent risk measures can be defined as a Markov risk transition mapping, an infinite-dimensional optimization can be used to design Markovian belief-based policies. For POMDPs with stochastic finite-state controllers (FSCs), we show that the latter optimization simplifies to a (finite dimensional) DCP. We incorporate these DCPs in a policy iteration algorithm to design risk-averse FSCs for POMDPs. We demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method with numerical experiments involving conditional-value-at-risk and entropic-value-at-risk risk measures.