A STOCHASTIC-ANALYSIS OF STATE TRANSITIONS IN AN AIR-SPACE MANAGEMENT-SYSTEM

成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
RINGEL, EI; MODE, CJ
署名单位:
Drexel University
刊物名称:
OPERATIONS RESEARCH
ISSN/ISSBN:
0030-364X
DOI:
10.1287/opre.42.2.262
发表日期:
1994
页码:
262-273
关键词:
摘要:
This paper explores the application of stochastic process ideas to answer some fundamental questions about a state system which arises in the Mode Select Beacon System (Mode-S), an air-space management system. A Series of models is developed, based on semi-Markov processes, population models, and Monte Carlo simulation. Computer programs in the APL programming language to implement the models and to process the resulting data are developed. The output of the models illuminate the behavior of the state system by providing predictions with confidence bounds about the movements of aircraft among the states over time.