Integrated variance reduction strategies for simulation

成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
Avramidis, AN; Wilson, JR
署名单位:
North Carolina State University
刊物名称:
OPERATIONS RESEARCH
ISSN/ISSBN:
0030-364X
DOI:
10.1287/opre.44.2.327
发表日期:
1996
页码:
327-346
关键词:
摘要:
We develop strategies for integrated use of certain well-known variance reduction techniques to estimate a mean response in a finite-horizon simulation experiment. The building blocks for these integrated variance reduction strategies are the techniques of conditional expectation, correlation induction (including antithetic variates and Latin hypercube sampling), and control variates; all pairings of these techniques are examined. For each integrated strategy, we establish sufficient conditions under which that strategy will yield a smaller response variance than its constituent variance reduction techniques will yield individually. We also provide asymptotic variance comparisons between many of the methods discussed, with emphasis on integrated strategies that incorporate Latin hypercube sampling. An experimental performance evaluation reveals that in the simulation of stochastic activity networks, substantial variance reductions can be achieved with these integrated strategies. Both the theoretical and experimental results indicate that superior performance is obtained ria joint application of the techniques of conditional expectation and Latin hypercube sampling.