An OR missionary's visits to the criminal justice system
成果类型：
Article
署名作者：
Blumstein, Alfred
署名单位：
Carnegie Mellon University
刊物名称：
OPERATIONS RESEARCH
ISSN/ISSBN：
0030-364X
DOI：
10.1287/opre.1060.0340
发表日期：
2007
页码：
14-23
关键词：
摘要：
One of the historic roles of operations research (OR) people in the problem domains they enter is that of missionary, bringing their OR techniques of quantitative modeling, system perspective, and planning to the fields where those approaches have not yet taken hold. One of the most primitive of social systems in that regard is the criminal justice system responsible for society's response to crime. Over the past 40 years, I and a number of colleagues have been involved in this missionary function. The issues addressed have involved modeling of criminal careers as a stochastic process, bringing those analyses to the assessment of incapacitation effects of incarceration, review of trends in incarceration and factors contributing to those trends, and an examination of the interaction of incarceration and drug markets, with an analysis of some of the unintended counterproductive effects of that incarceration response to the drug problem.