Further reflections on the elimination of framing bias in strategic decision making

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Hodgkinson, GP; Maule, AJ; Bown, NJ; Pearman, AD; Glaister, KW
• 署名单位: University of Leeds
• 刊物名称: STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0143-2095
• DOI: 10.1002/smj.266
• 发表日期: 2002
• 页码: 1069-1076
• 关键词: Framing; strategic cognition; COGNITIVE MAPPING; Cognitive bias; debiasing techniques

摘要

Wright and Goodwin (2002) maintain that, in terms of experimental design and ecological validity, Hodgkinson et al. (1999)failed to demonstrate either that the framing bias is likely to be of salience in strategic decision making, or that causal cognitive mapping provides an effective means of limiting the damage accruing from this bias. In reply, we show that there is ample evidence to support both of our original claims. Moreover, using Wright and Goodwin's own data set, we demonstrate that our studies did in fact attain appropriate levels of ecological validity, and that their proposed alternative to causal cognitive mapping, a decision tree approach, is far from 'simpler.' Wright and Goodwin's approach not only fails to eliminate the framing bias-it leads to confusion. Copyright (C) 2002 John Wiley Sons, Ltd.