Researchers Should Make Thoughtful Assessments Instead of Null-Hypothesis Significance Tests

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Schwab, Andreas; Abrahamson, Eric; Starbuck, William H.; Fidler, Fiona
• 署名单位: Iowa State University; Columbia University; University of Oregon; La Trobe University
• 刊物名称: ORGANIZATION SCIENCE
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1047-7039
• DOI: 10.1287/orsc.1100.0557
• 发表日期: 2011
• 页码: 1105-1120
• 关键词: research design and methods; statistics; analyses

摘要

Null-hypothesis significance tests (NHSTs) have received much criticism, especially during the last two decades. Yet many behavioral and social scientists are unaware that NHSTs have drawn increasing criticism, so this essay summarizes key criticisms. The essay also recommends alternative ways of assessing research findings. Although these recommendations are not complex, they do involve ways of thinking that many behavioral and social scientists find novel. Instead of making NHSTs, researchers should adapt their research assessments to specific contexts and specific research goals, and then explain their rationales for selecting assessment indicators. Researchers should show the substantive importance of findings by reporting effect sizes and should acknowledge uncertainty by stating confidence intervals. By comparing data with naive hypotheses rather than with null hypotheses, researchers can challenge themselves to develop better theories. Parsimonious models are easier to understand, and they generalize more reliably. Robust statistical methods tolerate deviations from assumptions about samples.