Strong Claims and Weak Evidence: Reassessing the Predictive Validity of the IAT

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Blanton, Hart; Klick, Jonathan; Mitchell, Gregory; Jaccard, James; Mellers, Barbara; Tetlock, Philip E.
• 署名单位: University of Virginia; Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; State University System of Florida; Florida International University; University of Pennsylvania; University of California System; University of California Berkeley
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF APPLIED PSYCHOLOGY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0021-9010
• DOI: 10.1037/a0014665
• 发表日期: 2009
• 页码: 567-582
• 关键词: implicit association test; predictive validity; DISCRIMINATION; implicit bias

摘要

The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold (2001) and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Flanges (2005)-that explore links between implicit has and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies. the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores ill regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction Of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias. rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.