The conditioning effect of time on firm survival: An industry life cycle approach

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Agarwal, R; Sarkar, M; Echamebadi, R
• 署名单位: University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; State University System of Florida; University of Central Florida
• 刊物名称: ACADEMY OF MANAGEMENT JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0001-4273
• DOI: 10.5465/3069325
• 发表日期: 2002
• 页码: 971-994
• 关键词: dominant designs; TECHNOLOGICAL DISCONTINUITIES; ORGANIZATIONAL POPULATIONS; AGE-DEPENDENCE; entry; MARKET; INNOVATION; EVOLUTION; FAILURE; GROWTH

摘要

Man effort to reconcile theoretical blind spots, we integrated research in technology management, organizational ecology, and evolutionary economics. The central premise underlying the resultant model is that time conditions the effects of age, contemporaneous size, order of entry, and contemporaneous density on mortality rates. We tested our hypotheses using a life cycle approach and data on 33 product innovations that span most of the 20th century. Results resoundingly support our central thesis on the impact of time on both survival rates and relationships previously thought to be universalistic.