A Mechanism for Eliciting Probabilities

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Karni, Edi
• 署名单位: Johns Hopkins University
• 刊物名称: ECONOMETRICA
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0012-9682
• DOI: 10.3982/ECTA7833
• 发表日期: 2009
• 页码: 603-606
• 关键词: subjective probabilities; elicitation

摘要

This paper describes a direct revelation mechanism for eliciting agents' subjective probabilities. The game induced by the mechanism has a dominant strategy equilibrium in which the players reveal their subjective probabilities.