THE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF EARLY TRACK CHOICE

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Dustmann, Christian; Puhani, Patrick A.; Schoenberg, Uta
• 署名单位: University of London; University College London; Leibniz University Hannover; University of St Gallen; IZA Institute Labor Economics
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12419
• 发表日期: 2017
• 页码: 1348-1380
• 关键词: school tracking; natural experiment; catholic-schools; AGE; outcomes; achievement; INEQUALITY; variables; earnings; students

摘要

We investigate the effects of attending a more advanced track in middle school on long-term education and labour market outcomes for Germany, a country with a rigorous early-age tracking system, where the risk of misallocating students is particularly high. Our research design exploits quasi-random shifts between tracks induced by date of birth, and speaks to the long-term effects of early track attendance for a group of marginal students most at risk of misallocation. Remarkably, we find no evidence that attending a more advanced track leads to more favourable long-term outcomes. We attribute this result to the possibility of later track-reversal.