The Effect of Concealed-Carry and Handgun Restrictions on Gun-Related Deaths: Evidence from the Sullivan Act of 1911

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Depew, Briggs; Swensen, Isaac
• 署名单位: Utah System of Higher Education; Utah State University; Montana State University System; Montana State University Bozeman
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac004
• 发表日期: 2022
• 页码: 2118-2140
• 关键词: background checks; violent crime; LAWS; state; deterrence; firearms; suicide; IMPACT; loans

摘要

The 1911 New York State Sullivan Act outlawed carrying concealable firearms without a licence, established strict licencing rules and regulated the sale and possession of handguns. We analyse the effects of the Sullivan Act using historical data on mortality rates, pistol permits and citations for illegal carrying. Our analysis of pistol permits and citations reveal clear initial effects of the Sullivan Act on gun-related behaviours. Using synthetic control and difference-in-differences methodologies, our main analyses show no effects on overall homicide rates, evidence of a reduction in overall suicide rates and strong evidence of a large and sustained decrease in gun-related suicide rates.