RELIGIONS, FERTILITY, AND GROWTH IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: de la Croix, David; Delavallade, Clara
• 署名单位: Universite Catholique Louvain; Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); The World Bank
• 刊物名称: INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0020-6598
• DOI: 10.1111/iere.12291
• 发表日期: 2018
• 页码: 907-946
• 关键词: differential fertility; education; quantity; BEHAVIOR; outcomes; CHILDREN; QUALITY; becker; NORMS

摘要

We investigate the extent to which the pronatalism of religions impedes growth via the fertility/education channel. Using Southeast Asian censuses, we show empirically that being Catholic, Buddhist, or Muslim significantly raises fertility, especially for couples with intermediate to high education levels. With these estimates, we identify the parameters of a structural model. Catholicism is strongly pro-child (increasing total spending on children), followed by Buddhism, whereas Islam is more pro-birth (redirecting spending from quality to quantity). Pro-child religions depress growth in its early stages by lowering savings and labor supply. In the later stages of growth, pro-birth religions impede human capital accumulation.