SMOKING AND MORTALITY: NEW EVIDENCE FROM A LONG PANEL

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Darden, Michael; Gilleskie, Donna B.; Strumpf, Koleman
• 署名单位: George Washington University; University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; Wake Forest University
• 刊物名称: INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0020-6598
• DOI: 10.1111/iere.12314
• 发表日期: 2018
• 页码: 1571-1619
• 关键词: male british doctors; Cigarette Taxes; HEALTH; addiction; models; cessation; BEHAVIOR; demand; IMPACT; benefits

摘要

Many public health policies are rooted in findings from medical and epidemiological studies that fail to consider behavioral influences. Using nearly 50 years of data from the Framingham Heart Study's male participants, we evaluate the longevity consequences of different lifetime smoking patterns by jointly estimating smoking behavior and health outcomes over the life cycle, by richly including smoking and health histories, and by flexibly incorporating correlated unobserved heterogeneity. Unconditional difference-in-mean calculations that treat smoking behaviors as random indicate a 9.3-year difference in age of death between lifelong smokers and nonsmokers; our findings suggest the bias-corrected difference is 4.3 years.