Extractive resource policy and civil conflict: Evidence from mining reform in the Philippines

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Crost, Benjamin; Felter, Joseph H.
• 署名单位: University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Stanford University
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3878
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2020.102443
• 发表日期: 2020
• 关键词: Natural resources; minerals; MINING; Extractive policy; REFORM; civil conflict

摘要

We estimate how a shift towards a more extractive resource policy, brought about by a regulatory reform of the mining sector, affected civil conflict in the Philippines. Our empirical strategy uses a difference-in-differences approach that compares provinces with and without mineral deposits before and after the reform. We find that the reform led to a large increase in conflict violence, most likely due to increased competition over control of resource-rich areas. The estimated welfare cost of this increase in violence is several orders of magnitude larger than the country's total revenue from taxes on mineral production.