The deep roots of rebellion

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Narciso, Gaia; Severgnini, Battista
• 署名单位: Trinity College Dublin; Copenhagen Business School
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3878
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102952
• 发表日期: 2023
• 关键词: CONFLICT; famine; Irish revolution

摘要

This paper analyzes the triggers of rebellion and documents the historical roots of conflict using a unique dataset at the individual level. Drawing on evidence from the Famine (1845-1850) and its effect on the Irish Revolution (1916-1921), we show how negative shocks can explain social unrest in the long run. These findings are confirmed by the analysis of surnames, which enables the study of socio-cultural persistence over time. The instrumental variable analysis based on the wind direction that determined the spread of the potato blight that caused the Famine provides further evidence in support of the legacy of rebellion.