Ordinary Economic Voting Behavior in the Extraordinary Election Adolf Hitler

• 成果类型: Review
• 署名作者: Harvard University; University of Texas System; University of Texas El Paso; Northwestern University; University of Zurich
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC HISTORY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-0507
• DOI: 10.1017/S0022050708000788
• 发表日期: 2008
• 页码: 951-996
• 关键词: ecological inference; national-socialism; nazi vote; high wages; weimar; Germany; unemployment; CHOICE; employees; DEMOCRACY

摘要

The enormous Nazi voting literature rarely builds on modern statistical or economic research. By adding these approaches, we find that the most widely accepted existing theories of this era cannot distinguish the Weimar elections from almost any others in any Country. Via a retrospective voting account, we show that voters most hurt by the depression, and most likely to oppose the government, fall into separate groups with divergent interests. This explains why some turned to the Nazis and others turned away. The consequences of Hitler's election were extraordinary, but the voting behavior that led to it was not.