Robust policymaking in the face of sudden stops
成果类型：
Article
署名作者：
Young, Eric R.
署名单位：
University of Virginia
刊物名称：
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS
ISSN/ISSBN：
0304-3932
DOI：
10.1016/j.jmoneco.2012.05.005
发表日期：
2012
页码：
512-527
关键词：
摘要：
This paper considers tax policies to deal with Sudden Stops - declines in aggregate activity that are magnified by a binding collateral constraint - that occasionally occur in emerging market economies. Households and/or the government are assumed to face model uncertainty and desire robustness against alternative models. Welfare gains from optimal taxation are small if the government trusts its model of household expectations, whether those expectations are altered by model uncertainty or not; in contrast, welfare losses are large if the government is uncertain about the household's probability model. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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