Volatile hiring: uncertainty in search and matching models

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Den Haan, Wouter J.; Freund, Lukas B.; Rendahl, Pontus
• 署名单位: Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; University of Cambridge; Copenhagen Business School; Copenhagen Business School
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3932
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.07.008
• 发表日期: 2021
• 页码: 1-18
• 关键词: uncertainty; search frictions; unemployment; option value

摘要

In search-and-matching models, the nonlinear nature of search frictions increases average unemployment rates during periods with higher volatility. These frictions are not, however, by themselves sufficient to raise unemployment following an increase in perceived uncer-tainty; though they may do so in conjunction with the common assumption of wages be -ing determined by Nash bargaining. Importantly, option-value considerations play no role in the standard model with free entry. In contrast, when the mass of entrepreneurs is fi-nite and there is heterogeneity in firm-specific productivity, a rise in perceived uncertainty robustly increases the option value of waiting and reduces job creation. (c) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ )