PROXYING FOR UNOBSERVABLE VARIABLES WITH INTERNET DOCUMENT-FREQUENCY

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Saiz, Albert; Simonsohn, Uri
• 署名单位: Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); University of Pennsylvania
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1542-4766
• DOI: 10.1111/j.1542-4774.2012.01110.x
• 发表日期: 2013
• 页码: 137-165
• 关键词: word-of-mouth; CORRUPTION; media; noise; cues

摘要

The internet contains billions of documents. We show that document frequencies in large decentralized textual databases can capture the cross-sectional variation in the occurrence frequencies of social phenomena. We characterize the econometric conditions under which such proxying is likely. We also propose using recently-introduced internet search volume indexes as proxies for fundamental locational traits, and discuss their advantages and limitations. We then successfully proxy for a number of economic and demographic variables in US cities and states. We further obtain document-frequency measures of corruption by country and US state and replicate the econometric results of previous research studying its covariates. Finally, we provide the first measure of corruption in American cities. Poverty, population size, service-sector orientation, and ethnic fragmentation are shown to predict higher levels of corruption in urban America.