IRRIGATION AND AUTOCRACY

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Bentzen, Jeanet Sinding; Kaarsen, Nicolai; Wingender, Asger Moll
• 署名单位: University of Copenhagen
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1542-4766
• DOI: 10.1111/jeea.12173
• 发表日期: 2017
• 页码: 1-53
• 关键词: POLITICAL-ECONOMY; resource curse; middle-east; institutions; origins; authoritarianism; PRODUCTIVITY; population; advantage; EVOLUTION

摘要

Irrigated agriculture makes societies more likely to be ruled by authoritarian regimes. Ancient societies have long been thought to follow this pattern. We empirically show that irrigation affects political regimes even in the present. To avoid endogeneity, we use geographical and climatic variation to identify irrigation dependent societies. We find that countries whose agriculture depended on irrigation are about six points less democratic on the 21-point polity2 scale than countries where agriculture has been rainfed. We find qualitatively similar results across regions within countries. We argue that the effect has historical origins: irrigation allowed landed elites in arid areas to monopolize water and arable land. This made elites more powerful and better able to oppose democratization. Consistent with this conjecture, we show that irrigation dependence predicts land inequality both at the country level, and in premodern societies surveyed by ethnographers.