Immigration and Voting for the Far Right

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Halla, Martin; Wagner, Alexander F.; Zweimuller, Josef
• 署名单位: University of Innsbruck; Swiss Finance Institute (SFI); University of Zurich; University of Zurich
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1542-4766
• DOI: 10.1093/jeea/jvx003
• 发表日期: 2017
• 页码: 1341-1385
• 关键词: quasi-experimental evidence; low-skilled immigration; labor-market outcomes; young native workers; extreme-right; western-europe; political-economy; weak instruments; location choices; ethnic enclaves

摘要

Does the presence of immigrants in one's neighborhood affect voting for far right-wing parties? We study the case of the Freedom Party of Austria (FPA-) that, under the leadership of Jorg Haider, increased its vote share from less than 5% in the early 1980s to 27% by the end of the 1990s and continued to attract more than 20% of voters in the 2013 national election. We find that the inflow of immigrants into a community has a significant impact on the increase in the community's voting share for the FPA-, explaining roughly a tenth of the regional variation in vote changes. Our results suggest that voters worry about adverse labor market effects of immigration, as well as about the quality of their neighborhood. In fact, we find evidence of a negative impact of immigration on compositional amenities. In communities with larger immigration influx, Austrian children commute longer distances to school, and fewer daycare resources are provided. We do not find evidence that Austrians move out of communities with increasing immigrant presence. (JEL: P16, J61).