EXPORT CROPS AND CIVIL CONFLICT

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Crost, Benjamin; Felter, Joseph H.
• 署名单位: University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Stanford University
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1542-4766
• DOI: 10.1093/jeea/jvz025
• 发表日期: 2020
• 页码: 1484-1520
• 关键词: economic shocks; price shocks; GROWTH; income

摘要

Many experts see a move toward high-value export crops, such as fruits and vegetables, as an important opportunity for economic growth and poverty reduction, but little is known about the effects of export crops in fragile and conflict-affected countries. We exploit movements in world market prices combined with geographic variation in crop production to show that increases in the value of bananas, the country's biggest export crop, caused an increase in conflict violence and insurgent-controlled territory in the Philippines. This effect was concentrated in provinces where bananas are produced in large plantations with areas greater than 25 hectares. Our results are consistent with a mechanism in which insurgents fund their operations by extorting large agricultural export firms.