被撤回的出版物: Drought sensitivity in mesic forests heightens their vulnerability to climate change

• 成果类型: Article; Retracted Publication
• 署名作者: Heilmayr, Robert; Dudney, Joan; Moore, Frances C.
• 署名单位: University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara; University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara; University of California System; University of California Davis
• 刊物名称: SCIENCE
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0036-10436
• DOI: 10.1126/science.adi1071
• 发表日期: 2023-12-08
• 关键词: ring data-bank; vegetation distribution; hydraulic efficiency; growth-patterns; tree mortality; change impacts; picea-abies; gradient; range; adaptation

摘要

Climate change is shifting the structure and function of global forests, underscoring the critical need to predict which forests are most vulnerable to a hotter and drier future. We analyzed 6.6 million tree rings from 122 species to assess trees' sensitivity to water and energy availability. We found that trees growing in wetter portions of their range exhibit the greatest drought sensitivity. To test how these patterns of drought sensitivity influence vulnerability to climate change, we predicted tree growth through 2100. Our results suggest that drought adaptations in arid regions will partially buffer trees against climate change. By contrast, trees growing in the wetter, hotter portions of their climatic range may experience unexpectedly large adverse impacts under climate change.