Climate change is an important predictor of extinction risk on macroevolutionary timescales

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Malanoski, Cooper M.; Farnsworth, Alex; Lunt, Daniel J.; Valdes, Paul J.; Saupe, Erin E.
• 署名单位: University of Oxford; University of Bristol
• 刊物名称: SCIENCE
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0036-12670
• DOI: 10.1126/science.adj5763
• 发表日期: 2024-03-08
• 页码: 1130-1134
• 关键词: geographic range size; body-size; mass extinction; selectivity; vulnerability; EVOLUTION; DYNAMICS; breadth; niches; oxygen

摘要

Anthropogenic climate change is increasing rapidly and already impacting biodiversity. Despite itsimportance in future projections, understanding of the underlying mechanisms by which climatemediates extinction remains limited. We present an integrated approach examining the roleof intrinsic traits versus extrinsic climate change in mediating extinction risk for marineinvertebrates over the past 485 million years. We found that a combination of physiologicaltraits and the magnitude of climate change is necessary to explain marine invertebrate extinctionpatterns. Our results suggest that taxa previously identified as extinction resistant may stillsuccumb to extinction if the magnitude of climate change is great enough.